fivethirtyeight

A new study estimates there were 24,290 fewer legal abortions between July 2022 and March 2023, after the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision. 

Republicans are now favored to retake the Senate on November 8, forecaster FiveThirtyEight predicted Tuesday for the first time since July.

Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka was projected this week to defeat by a narrow margin 21-year incumbent and pro-impeachment Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK).

Although Oregon has long been a blue stronghold, political analysts say the state’s gubernatorial race is no sure thing.

Hey, remember when the media attacked Republicans as racist for being pessimistic about the Biden economy?

Republicans have taken a clear lead over Democrats in the RealClearPolitics and the FiveThirtyEight generic congressional ballot average less than a year before the midterms. The November midterm election will decide the majority in the House and Senate, as both

President Joe Biden’s approval rating average is stuck below 50 percent as of Wednesday, according to FiveThirtyEight.

MSNBC primetime anchor Joy Reid, a proven liar, antisemite, and homophobe, doesn’t know what “538” stands for.

Former Vice President Joe Biden could be the “most liberal president in modern U.S. history,” according to Perry Bacon Jr., senior writer at fivethirtyeight.com.

You would think Biden would be seen as more favorable than unfavorable, if only because of his association with Obama, who was a popular president.

What makes this feat even more impressive is that while all ten candidates were on the stage for the full two hours, Todd managed to top seven of them during his single hour of moderating.

ESPN is sending its political/sports site FiveThirtyEight over to the ABC News, perhaps to blunt criticism that ESPN is too political.

FiveThirtyEight senior political writer and analyst Harry Enten posits the theory that President Donald Trump has a diminished ability to influence Republican primary voters should Sen. Luther Strange (R-AL) lose his contest to former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore on September 26

A Democrat New York assemblywoman has a solution for low turnout typically among poor and minority voting blocs: fine them if they fail to cast ballots.

Between Sunday and Monday, Editor-In-Chief of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver had both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump winning Florida, putting the race for the state’s electoral votes on a knife’s edge, but with a great show of momentum in recent weeks for Trump and regression for Clinton.

Nate Silver blasted the Huffington Post on Saturday night in response to an article that the site posted accusing him of “changing the results of polls,” The Hill reported.

Nate Silver writes that it is very common for post-convention bounce to mask the reality of a losing campaign. “John McCain and Sarah Palin did so in 2008, for example, and even Walter Mondale led a couple of polls in 1984. But those bounces do not always turn out to be predictive.”

Following the low ratings received by the Ghostbusters reboot, some outlets have decided that the reason for this must be that “internet movie ratings are inherently a problem.”

Matt Bevin’s nine-point victory in the race for Kentucky governor shocked pollsters, GOP insiders, and experts at the New York Times and Washington Post.