The big excitement out of the gates in the NBA Draft hinges on if the Los Angeles Lakers pick guard D’Angelo Russell out of Ohio State to play as a temporary backcourt mate and ultimate heir to Kobe Bryant.
You always want to draft a freshman because they improve so much. Looking at the top 5 Value Adds of any freshman, Russell gets the edge over Okafor, assuming Lakers choose him.
Great 2015 Season at: | Player | Class | Value Add |
---|---|---|---|
Kentucky | Towns, Karl-Anthony 12 | 1 Fr | 11.39 |
Ohio St. | Russell, D’Angelo 0 | 1 Fr | 8.41 |
Duke | Jones, Tyus 5 | 1 Fr | 8.11 |
Duke | Okafor, Jahlil 15 | 1 Fr | 7.78 |
Duke | Winslow, Justise 12 | 1 Fr | 7.18 |
Make a note: Karl-Anthony Towns of Kentucky is the only absolutely clear choice at No. 1. He is much, much, much, better than anyone else. His 11.39 rating at www.valueaddbasketball.com means he improved Kentucky by over 11 points a game, slightly less than senior Delon Wright of Utah (11.88). But a senior plays close to his peak. Towns projects to be worth almost 20 additional points per game if he stayed three more years. So, his value is almost double that of Wright long term.
The real significance of Russell going to the Lakers is that they are finally going to build through a draft, creating the path to contend after Kobe Bryant leaves and even if he is not able to return to form this year for a last run.
If the Lakers are able to pull off the deal to get Kings big man DeMarcus Cousins to dominate inside, then there is no need for the defensively challenged Okafor.
While there will be foreign players tonight, and guys with future potential who did not develop it in college, we want to give a special shout-out to the 40 players who were both great college players (in the top 5% of all players in college basketball this year) and can legitimately be good pros as well. They are listed by school.
Great 2015 Season at: | Player | Class | Value Add | Conf | 2015 Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Arizona | Hollis-Jefferson, Rondae 23 | 2 So | 6.21 | P12 | 81 |
Arizona | Johnson, Stanley 5 | 1 Fr | 5.93 | P12 | 103 |
Arkansas | Portis, Bobby 10 | 2 So | 7.91 | SEC | 19 |
Boston College | Hanlan, Olivier 21 | 3 Jr | 5.61 | ACC | 118 |
Bowling Green | Holmes, Richaun 22 | 4 Sr | 4.9 | MAC | 179 |
Duke | Jones, Tyus 5 | 1 Fr | 8.11 | ACC | 15 |
Duke | Okafor, Jahlil 15 | 1 Fr | 7.78 | ACC | 21 |
Duke | Winslow, Justise 12 | 1 Fr | 7.18 | ACC | 39 |
Georgia St. | Hunter, R.J. 22 | 3 Jr | 7.58 | SB | 25 |
Iowa | White, Aaron 30 | 4 Sr | 9.41 | B10 | 6 |
Kansas | Oubre, Kelly 12 | 1 Fr | 5.35 | B12 | 130 |
Kentucky | Booker, Devin 1 | 1 Fr | 6.93 | SEC | 49 |
Kentucky | Cauley-Stein, Willie 15 | 3 Jr | 8.48 | SEC | 10 |
Kentucky | Harrison, Andrew 5 | 2 So | 6.86 | SEC | 53 |
Kentucky | Johnson, Dakari 44 | 2 So | 5.14 | SEC | 146 |
Kentucky | Lyles, Trey 41 | 1 Fr | 6.71 | SEC | 59 |
Kentucky | Towns, Karl-Anthony 12 | 1 Fr | 11.39 | SEC | 2 |
Louisiana St. | Martin, Jarell 1 | 2 So | 6 | SEC | 95 |
Louisville | Harrell, Montrezl 24 | 3 Jr | 7.52 | ACC | 27 |
Louisville | Rozier, Terry 0 | 2 So | 7.39 | ACC | 31 |
Michigan St. | Trice, Travis 20 | 4 Sr | 5.91 | B10 | 105 |
Murray St. | Payne, Cameron 1 | 2 So | 7.92 | OVC | 18 |
Nevada Las Vegas | Wood, Christian 5 | 2 So | 4.77 | MWC | 196 |
Notre Dame | Connaughton, Pat 24 | 4 Sr | 6.27 | ACC | 75 |
Notre Dame | Grant, Jerian 22 | 4 Sr | 9.41 | ACC | 5 |
Ohio St. | Russell, D’Angelo 0 | 1 Fr | 8.41 | B10 | 11 |
Oregon | Young, Joseph 3 | 4 Sr | 6.72 | P12 | 58 |
Stanford | Brown, Anthony 21 | 4 Sr | 5.93 | P12 | 102 |
Stanford | Randle, Chasson 5 | 4 Sr | 6.88 | P12 | 51 |
Syracuse | Christmas, Rakeem 25 | 4 Sr | 7.25 | ACC | 37 |
Tennessee | Richardson, Josh 1 | 4 Sr | 7.46 | SEC | 30 |
Texas | Turner, Myles 52 | 1 Fr | 5.22 | B12 | 140 |
UCLA | Looney, Kevon 5 | 1 Fr | 6.16 | P12 | 84 |
UCLA | Powell, Norman 4 | 4 Sr | 5.5 | P12 | 123 |
Utah | Wright, Delon 55 | 4 Sr | 11.88 | P12 | 1 |
Virginia | Anderson, Justin 1 | 3 Jr | 5.15 | ACC | 145 |
Virginia Commonwealth | Graham, Treveon 21 | 4 Sr | 5.3 | A10 | 134 |
Wisconsin | Dekker, Sam 15 | 3 Jr | 7.1 | B10 | 43 |
Wisconsin | Kaminsky, Frank 44 | 4 Sr | 11.09 | B10 | 3 |
Wyoming | Nance, Larry 22 | 4 Sr | 4.78 | MWC | 195 |