Below are the final scoring margins vs. the projected margins for each FBS team. A separate post totals these by conference to update the conference ratings. East Carolina’s 70-41 win over North Carolina puts them in the driver’s seat to be the top champion from the five non-Power Conferences, as they helped push the American Athletic into sixth. However, there is now a huge gap between them and the Power 5 due to the Big Ten’s 12-1 mark detailed below:
| Rank | Teams by Conference | Pred Marg | Actual | Chance | 1=win | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | Cincinnati | 25 | 7 | 99% | 1 | Miami OH |
| 111 | Connecticut | -3 | -3 | 41% | South Florida | |
| 34 | East Carolina | 8 | 25 | 65% | 1 | North Carolina |
| 66 | Houston | 18 | 25 | 90% | 1 | UNLV |
| 84 | Memphis | -3 | 19 | 44% | 1 | MTSU |
| 96 | SMU | -25 | -25 | 6% | Texas A&M | |
| 112 | South Florida | 3 | 3 | 59% | 1 | Connecticut |
| 73 | Temple | 25 | 25 | 100% | 1 | Delaware St |
| 91 | Tulane | -22 | -25 | 9% | Duke | |
| 93 | Tulsa | 0 | 0% | |||
| 55 | UCF | 24 | 25 | 98% | 1 | Bethune-Cookman |
| AAC Margin, Wins | 50 | 76 | 6.1 | 7 | ||
| 31 | Boston College | 25 | 25 | 98% | 1 | Maine |
| 17 | Clemson | -20 | -1 | 21% | Florida St | |
| 37 | Duke | 22 | 25 | 91% | 1 | Tulane |
| 1 | Florida St | 20 | 1 | 79% | 1 | Clemson |
| 43 | Georgia Tech | -7 | 3 | 35% | 1 | Virginia Tech |
| 18 | Louisville | 25 | 25 | 92% | 1 | Florida Intl |
| 33 | Miami FL | -2 | -10 | 47% | Nebraska | |
| 59 | NC State | 25 | 25 | 100% | 1 | Presbyterian |
| 45 | North Carolina | -8 | -25 | 35% | East Carolina | |
| 24 | Pittsburgh | 21 | -4 | 92% | Iowa | |
| 39 | Syracuse | 12 | -14 | 82% | Maryland | |
| 42 | Virginia | -12 | -8 | 28% | BYU | |
| 23 | Virginia Tech | 7 | -3 | 65% | Georgia Tech | |
| 103 | Wake Forest | 4 | 3 | 62% | 1 | Army |
| ACC Margin, Wins | 112 | 42 | 9.3 | 7 | ||
| Rnk | Team | Proj | Actual | %W | Win | Opponent |
| 87 | Illinois | 13 | 7 | 79% | 1 | Texas St |
| 67 | Indiana | -25 | 4 | 8% | 1 | Missouri |
| 76 | Iowa | -21 | 4 | 8% | 1 | Pittsburgh |
| 63 | Maryland | -12 | 14 | 18% | 1 | Syracuse |
| 71 | Michigan | -6 | -16 | 36% | Utah | |
| 16 | Michigan St | 25 | 25 | 100% | 1 | E Michigan |
| 75 | Minnesota | 4 | 17 | 60% | 1 | San Jose St |
| 36 | Nebraska | 2 | 10 | 53% | 1 | Miami FL |
| 100 | Northwestern | 11 | 17 | 84% | 1 | W Illinois |
| 28 | Ohio St | 0 | 0% | |||
| 58 | Penn St | 25 | 25 | 97% | 1 | Massachusetts |
| 118 | Purdue | -11 | 25 | 20% | 1 | S Illinois |
| 81 | Rutgers | -16 | 7 | 17% | 1 | Navy |
| 25 | Wisconsin | 21 | 25 | 98% | 1 | Bowling Green |
| Big Ten Margin, Wins | 10 | 164 | 6.8 | 12 | ||
| 13 | Baylor | 0 | 0% | |||
| 56 | Iowa St | 0 | 0% | |||
| 107 | Kansas | 5 | 14 | 63% | 1 | C Michigan |
| 27 | Kansas St | -14 | -6 | 21% | Auburn | |
| 2 | Oklahoma | 15 | 12 | 74% | 1 | West Virginia |
| 7 | Oklahoma St | 0 | 0% | |||
| 22 | TCU | 0 | 0% | |||
| 35 | Texas | 0 | 0% | |||
| 68 | Texas Tech | 0 | 0% | |||
| 41 | West Virginia | -15 | -12 | 26% | Oklahoma | |
| Big 12 Margin, Wins | (9) | 8 | 1.8 | 2 | ||
| 79 | FL Atlantic | 8 | -1 | 68% | Wyoming | |
| 97 | Florida Intl | -25 | -25 | 8% | Louisville | |
| 40 | Louisiana Tech | 25 | -3 | 97% | Northwestern LA | |
| 50 | Marshall | 20 | 25 | 84% | 1 | Akron |
| 61 | Middle Tenn St | 3 | -19 | 56% | Memphis | |
| 60 | North Texas | 25 | 25 | 100% | 1 | Nicholls St |
| 94 | Old Dominion | -13 | 3 | 29% | 1 | Rice |
| 74 | Rice | 13 | -3 | 71% | Old Dominion | |
| 119 | Southern Miss | 7 | 1 | 65% | 1 | Appalachian St |
| 62 | UAB | 0 | 0% | |||
| 51 | UT San Antonio | 0 | 0% | |||
| 77 | UTEP | 0 | 0% | |||
| 57 | W Kentucky | 0 | 0% | |||
| CUSA Margin, Wins | 63 | 3 | 5.8 | 4 | ||
| 90 | Army | -4 | -3 | 38% | Wake Forest | |
| 21 | BYU | 12 | 8 | 72% | 1 | Virginia |
| 47 | Navy | 16 | -7 | 83% | Rutgers | |
| 14 | Notre Dame | 0 | 0% | |||
| Ind Margin, Wins | 24.1 | (2.0) | 1.9 | 1.0 | ||
| 110 | Akron | -20 | -25 | 16% | Marshall | |
| 89 | Ball St | -1 | -18 | 49% | Toledo | |
| 92 | Bowling Green | -21 | -25 | 2% | Wisconsin | |
| 122 | Buffalo | 21 | 25 | 98% | 1 | Norfolk St |
| 102 | C Michigan | -5 | -14 | 37% | Kansas | |
| 124 | E Michigan | -25 | -25 | 0% | Michigan St | |
| 123 | Kent | 0 | 0% | |||
| 117 | Massachusetts | -25 | -25 | 3% | Penn St | |
| 128 | Miami OH | -25 | -7 | 1% | Cincinnati | |
| 64 | N Illinois | -15 | -25 | 21% | Arkansas | |
| 108 | Ohio | 19 | 12 | 86% | 1 | Idaho |
| 101 | Toledo | 1 | 18 | 51% | 1 | Ball St |
| 121 | W Michigan | 7 | 25 | 65% | 1 | Murray St |
| MAC Margin, Wins | (88) | (84) | 4.3 | 4 | ||
| 99 | Air Force | 0 | 0% | |||
| 54 | Boise St | 24 | 25 | 94% | 1 | ULL |
| 80 | Colorado St | 0 | 0% | |||
| 85 | Fresno St | 22 | 25 | 91% | 1 | Southern Utah |
| 78 | Hawaii | -1 | -9 | 49% | Colorado | |
| 65 | Nevada | 0 | 0% | |||
| 116 | New Mexico | -5 | 3 | 40% | 1 | New Mexico St |
| 69 | San Diego St | -10 | -21 | 28% | Oregon St | |
| 72 | San Jose St | -4 | -17 | 40% | Minnesota | |
| 106 | UNLV | -18 | -25 | 10% | Houston | |
| 82 | Utah St | -1 | -1 | 47% | Arkansas St | |
| 105 | Wyoming | -8 | 1 | 32% | 1 | FL Atlantic |
| MWC Margin, Wins | (0) | (19) | 4.3 | 4 | ||
| 48 | Arizona | 12 | 4 | 74% | 1 | California |
| 30 | Arizona St | 0 | 0% | |||
| 70 | California | -12 | -4 | 26% | Arizona | |
| 95 | Colorado | 1 | 9 | 51% | 1 | Hawaii |
| 6 | Oregon | 25 | 7 | 93% | 1 | Washington St |
| 52 | Oregon St | 10 | 21 | 72% | 1 | San Diego St |
| 15 | Stanford | 0 | 0% | |||
| 38 | UCLA | 0 | 0% | |||
| 19 | USC | 0 | 0% | |||
| 44 | Utah | 6 | 16 | 64% | 1 | Michigan |
| 26 | Washington | 25 | 25 | 100% | 1 | Georgia St |
| 83 | Washington St | -25 | -7 | 7% | Oregon | |
| Pac-12 Margin, Wins | 42 | 71 | 4.9 | 6 | ||
| 126 | Appalachian St | -7 | -1 | 35% | Southern Miss | |
| 86 | Arkansas St | 1 | 1 | 53% | 1 | Utah St |
| 113 | Ga Southern | -9 | 22 | 28% | 1 | South Alabama |
| 127 | Georgia St | -25 | -25 | 0% | Washington | |
| 125 | Idaho | -19 | -12 | 14% | Ohio | |
| 114 | New Mexico St | 5 | -3 | 60% | New Mexico | |
| 98 | South Alabama | 9 | -22 | 72% | Ga Southern | |
| 115 | Texas St | -13 | -7 | 21% | Illinois | |
| 120 | Troy | -25 | -25 | 0% | Georgia | |
| 109 | ULL | -24 | -25 | 6% | Boise St | |
| 104 | ULM | 0 | 0% | |||
| SBC Margin, Wins | (107) | (97) | 2.9 | 2 | ||
| 3 | Alabama | 24 | 21 | 99% | 1 | Florida |
| 32 | Arkansas | 15 | 25 | 79% | 1 | N Illinois |
| 5 | Auburn | 14 | 6 | 79% | 1 | Kansas St |
| 49 | Florida | -24 | -21 | 1% | Alabama | |
| 11 | Georgia | 25 | 25 | 100% | 1 | Troy |
| 46 | Kentucky | 0 | 0% | |||
| 8 | LSU | 13 | -5 | 79% | Mississippi St | |
| 9 | Mississippi | 0 | 0% | |||
| 20 | Mississippi St | -13 | 5 | 21% | 1 | LSU |
| 4 | Missouri | 25 | -4 | 92% | Indiana | |
| 12 | South Carolina | 21 | 14 | 95% | 1 | Vanderbilt |
| 29 | Tennessee | 0 | 0% | |||
| 10 | Texas A&M | 25 | 25 | 94% | 1 | SMU |
| 88 | Vanderbilt | -21 | -14 | 5% | South Carolina | |
| SEC Margin, Wins | 51 | 25 | 4.9 | 4 |
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