College Football Projected Scores: Big 12 Challenges SEC Twice

The Big 12 has two chances to challenge the SEC’s No. 1 ranking (click here) if they can surpass their projected 4.9-4.1 record this week with an Oklahoma win over Tennessee and Texas Tech win over Arkansas. Iowa State, Oklahoma State, TCU, and West Virginia also have chances in fairly evenly matched inter-conference games on the tables below projecting every game and every conference record.

Conf	Projected Week 3 Record
AAC	W 2.8 L 5.2, 35%, currently ranked 7th
ACC	W 7.0 L 4.0, 64%, currently tied for 2nd
B10	W 5.8 L 5.2, 53%, currently ranked 5th
B12	W 4.9 L 4.1, 54%, currently ranked 4th
CUSA	W 6.4 L 6.6, 49%, currently ranked 6th
Ind	W 2.9 L 1.1, 73%
MAC	W 3.6 L 8.4, 30%, currently ranked 9th
MWC	W 4.3 L 4.7, 48%, currently ranked 8th
P12	W 7.2 L 1.8, 80%, currently tied 2nd
SBC	W 2.9 L 7.1, 29%, currently ranked 10th
SEC	W 9.1 L 3.9, 70%, currently ranked 1st

Each team is listed alphabetically within their conference with their current ranking in the Pythagorean Ratings, their projected score this week, percent chance of winning, game time, their opponent and the opponent’s conference and whether they are home, away, on a neutral site or idle. A conferences ability to exceed their projected record and projected overall points scored and allowed increases their conference standing released each week (click here for current conference ratings). 

Rnk	Team	Conf	Sc	Op	%	Gm Time	@	opponent	Conf
64	Cincinnati	AAC	34	23	74%	Fri 58-34	H	Toledo	MAC
114	Connecticut	AAC	18	31	19%	12:00pm ET	H	Boise St	MWC
45	East Carolina	AAC	25	38	24%	12:00pm ET	A	Virginia Tech	ACC
89	Houston	AAC	14	45	4%	Thur 33-25	A	BYU	Ind
91	Memphis	AAC			0%		I
101	SMU	AAC			0%		I
107	South Florida	AAC	25	30	38%	3:30pm ET	H	NC State	ACC
74	Temple	AAC			0%		I
104	Tulane	AAC	24	21	59%	8:00pm ET	H	SE Louisiana
85	Tulsa	AAC	27	27	50%	7:00pm ET	A	FL Atlantic	CUSA
47	UCF	AAC	19	39	12%	12:00pm ET	A	Missouri	SEC
	Proj Rec: W 2.8 L 5.2, 35%	AAC	186	254	2.80
48	Boston College	ACC	23	35	25%	8:00pm ET	H	USC	P12
20	Clemson	ACC			0%		I
37	Duke	ACC	37	9	98%	3:30pm ET	H	Kansas	B12
1	Florida St	ACC			0%		I
29	Georgia Tech	ACC	47	13	97%	12:00pm ET	H	Ga Southern	SBC
13	Louisville	ACC	37	25	74%	12:30pm ET	A	Virginia	ACC
43	Miami FL	ACC	37	26	72%	3:30pm ET	H	Arkansas St	SBC
80	NC State	ACC	30	25	62%	3:30pm ET	A	South Florida	AAC
44	North Carolina	ACC			0%		I
24	Pittsburgh	ACC	42	17	92%	12:00pm ET	A	Florida Intl	CUSA
58	Syracuse	ACC	27	24	58%	12:00pm ET	A	C Michigan	MAC
55	Virginia	ACC	25	37	26%	12:30pm ET	H	Louisville	ACC
18	Virginia Tech	ACC	38	25	76%	12:00pm ET	H	East Carolina	AAC
102	Wake Forest	ACC	6	10	19%	7:00pm ET	A	Utah St	MWC
	Proj Rec: W 7 L 4, 64%	ACC	349	246	6.99
76	Illinois	B10	19	36	15%	4:00pm ET	A	Washington	P12
59	Indiana	B10	33	26	65%	12:00pm ET	A	Bowling Green	MAC
57	Iowa	B10	26	17	75%	3:30pm ET	H	Iowa St	B12
67	Maryland	B10	29	35	37%	12:00pm ET	H	West Virginia	B12
62	Michigan	B10	40	7	99%	3:30pm ET	H	Miami OH	MAC
15	Michigan St	B10			0%		I
56	Minnesota	B10	15	23	24%	4:00pm ET	A	TCU	B12
39	Nebraska	B10	35	28	65%	10:30pm ET	A	Fresno St	MWC
96	Northwestern	B10			0%		I
27	Ohio St	B10	39	7	99%	12:00pm ET	H	Kent	MAC
46	Penn St	B10	28	22	66%	8:00pm ET	A	Rutgers	B10
123	Purdue	B10	6	47	0%	7:30pm ET	N	Notre Dame	Ind
81	Rutgers	B10	22	28	34%	8:00pm ET	H	Penn St	B10
23	Wisconsin	B10			0%		I
	Proj Rec: W 5.8 L 5.2, 53%	B10	292	276	5.81
17	Baylor	B12	50	17	95%	Fri 63-21	A	Buffalo	MAC
71	Iowa St	B12	17	26	25%	3:30pm ET	A	Iowa	B10
119	Kansas	B12	9	37	2%	3:30pm ET	A	Duke	ACC
35	Kansas St	B12			0%		I
4	Oklahoma	B12	38	23	80%	8:00pm ET	H	Tennessee	SEC
19	Oklahoma St	B12	31	22	72%	7:00pm ET	H	UT San Antonio	CUSA
38	TCU	B12	23	15	76%	4:00pm ET	H	Minnesota	B10
53	Texas	B12	15	25	21%	8:00pm ET	N	UCLA	P12
63	Texas Tech	B12	28	27	53%	3:30pm ET	H	Arkansas	SEC
36	West Virginia	B12	35	29	63%	12:00pm ET	A	Maryland	B10
	Proj Rec: W 4.9 L 4.1, 54%	B12	247	221	4.87
98	FL Atlantic	CUSA	27	27	50%	7:00pm ET	H	Tulsa	AAC
108	Florida Intl	CUSA	17	42	8%	12:00pm ET	H	Pittsburgh	ACC
51	Louisiana Tech	CUSA	32	37	40%	Thur 21-42	A	North Texas	CUSA
50	Marshall	CUSA	47	27	82%	12:00pm ET	H	Ohio	MAC
70	Middle Tenn St	CUSA	34	38	43%	7:00pm ET	H	W Kentucky	CUSA
42	North Texas	CUSA	37	32	60%	Thur 42-21	H	Louisiana Tech	CUSA
90	Old Dominion	CUSA	51	28	83%	6:00pm ET	H	E Michigan	MAC
77	Rice	CUSA	25	60	8%	9:00pm ET	A	Texas A&M	SEC
122	Southern Miss	CUSA	3	53	0%	6:00pm ET	A	Alabama	SEC
68	UAB	CUSA	35	10	97%	3:30pm ET	H	Alabama A&M
32	UT San Antonio	CUSA	22	31	28%	7:00pm ET	A	Oklahoma St	B12
79	UTEP	CUSA	46	29	79%	8:00pm ET	H	New Mexico St	SBC
49	W Kentucky	CUSA	38	34	58%	7:00pm ET	A	MTSU
	Proj Rec: W 6.4 L 6.6, 49%	CUSA	414	448	6.36
93	Army	Ind	13	43	4%	5:00pm ET	A	Stanford	P12
16	BYU	Ind	45	14	96%	Thur 25-33	H	Houston	AAC
31	Navy	Ind	41	16	93%	8:00pm ET	A	Texas St	SBC
8	Notre Dame	Ind	47	6	100%	7:30pm ET	N	Purdue	B10
	Proj Rec: W 2.9 L 1.1, 73%	Ind	146	79	2.92
105	Akron	MAC			0%		I
69	Ball St	MAC	35	10	97%	3:00pm ET	H	Indiana St
94	Bowling Green	MAC	26	33	35%	12:00pm ET	H	Indiana	B10
111	Buffalo	MAC	17	50	5%	Fri 21-63	H	Baylor	B12
84	C Michigan	MAC	24	27	42%	12:00pm ET	H	Syracuse	ACC
127	E Michigan	MAC	28	51	17%	6:00pm ET	A	Old Dominion	CUSA
118	Kent	MAC	7	39	1%	12:00pm ET	A	Ohio St	B10
121	Massachusetts	MAC	8	29	3%	12:00pm ET	A	Vanderbilt	SEC
128	Miami OH	MAC	7	40	1%	3:30pm ET	A	Michigan	B10
60	N Illinois	MAC	37	23	78%	7:00pm ET	A	UNLV	MWC
97	Ohio	MAC	27	47	18%	12:00pm ET	A	Marshall	CUSA
87	Toledo	MAC	23	34	26%	Fri 34-58	A	Cincinnati	AAC
126	W Michigan	MAC	30	37	36%	5:00pm ET	A	Idaho	SBC
	Proj Rec: W 3.6 L 8.4, 30%	MAC	270	420	3.59
109	Air Force	MWC	35	32	56%	2:00pm ET	A	Georgia St	SBC
61	Boise St	MWC	31	18	81%	12:00pm ET	A	Connecticut	AAC
88	Colorado St	MWC	35	10	97%	3:00pm ET	H	UC Davis
78	Fresno St	MWC	28	35	35%	10:30pm ET	H	Nebraska	B10
92	Hawaii	MWC	28	30	45%	11:59pm ET	H	Northern Iowa
83	Nevada	MWC	22	43	13%	11:00pm ET	A	Arizona	P12
120	New Mexico	MWC			0%		I
72	San Diego St	MWC			0%		I
73	San Jose St	MWC			0%		I
113	UNLV	MWC	23	37	22%	7:00pm ET	H	N Illinois	MAC
100	Utah St	MWC	10	6	81%	7:00pm ET	H	Wake Forest	ACC
110	Wyoming	MWC	11	61	1%	2:00pm ET	A	Oregon	P12
	Proj Rec: W 4.3 L 4.7, 48%	MWC	222	272	4.31
28	Arizona	P12	43	22	87%	11:00pm ET	H	Nevada	MWC
22	Arizona St	P12	40	18	90%	10:00pm ET	A	Colorado	P12
65	California	P12			0%		I
99	Colorado	P12	18	40	10%	10:00pm ET	H	Arizona St	P12
3	Oregon	P12	61	11	99%	2:00pm ET	H	Wyoming	MWC
40	Oregon St	P12			0%		I
14	Stanford	P12	43	13	96%	5:00pm ET	H	Army	Ind
25	UCLA	P12	25	15	79%	8:00pm ET	N	Texas	B12
6	USC	P12	35	23	75%	8:00pm ET	A	Boston College	ACC
34	Utah	P12			0%		I
30	Washington	P12	36	19	85%	4:00pm ET	H	Illinois	B10
75	Washington St	P12	35	10	97%	8:00pm ET	H	Portland St
	Proj Rec: W 7.2 L 1.8, 80%	P12	337	173	7.17
125	Appalachian St	SBC			0%		I
66	Arkansas St	SBC	26	37	28%	3:30pm ET	A	Miami FL	ACC
115	Ga Southern	SBC	13	47	3%	12:00pm ET	A	Georgia Tech	ACC
124	Georgia St	SBC	32	35	44%	2:00pm ET	H	Air Force	MWC
117	Idaho	SBC	37	30	64%	5:00pm ET	H	W Michigan	MAC
112	New Mexico St	SBC	29	46	21%	8:00pm ET	A	UTEP	CUSA
82	South Alabama	SBC	21	30	27%	4:00pm ET	H	Mississippi St	SEC
116	Texas St	SBC	16	41	7%	8:00pm ET	H	Navy	Ind
106	Troy	SBC	35	10	97%	7:00pm ET	H	Abilene Chr
103	ULL	SBC	8	44	1%	4:00pm ET	A	Mississippi	SEC
95	ULM	SBC	9	42	1%	7:00pm ET	A	LSU	SEC
	Proj Rec: W 2.9 L 7.1, 29%	SBC	226	362	2.94
2	Alabama	SEC	53	3	100%	6:00pm ET	H	Southern Miss	CUSA
52	Arkansas	SEC	27	28	47%	3:30pm ET	A	Texas Tech	B12
5	Auburn	SEC			0%		I
41	Florida	SEC	23	18	65%	7:30pm ET	H	Kentucky	SEC
11	Georgia	SEC	31	26	62%	3:30pm ET	A	South Carolina	SEC
54	Kentucky	SEC	18	23	35%	7:30pm ET	A	Florida	SEC
9	LSU	SEC	42	9	99%	7:00pm ET	H	ULM	SBC
12	Mississippi	SEC	44	8	99%	4:00pm ET	H	ULL	SBC
33	Mississippi St	SEC	30	21	73%	4:00pm ET	A	South Alabama	SBC
7	Missouri	SEC	39	19	88%	12:00pm ET	H	UCF	AAC
21	South Carolina	SEC	26	31	38%	3:30pm ET	H	Georgia	SEC
26	Tennessee	SEC	23	38	20%	8:00pm ET	A	Oklahoma	B12
10	Texas A&M	SEC	60	25	92%	9:00pm ET	H	Rice	CUSA
86	Vanderbilt	SEC	29	8	97%	12:00pm ET	H	Massachusetts	MAC