Value Add Bracketology: 13- to 16-seeds: UC Santa Barbara Most Likely Early Upset

The search for a surprise opening round upset can start with finding a low-seed with a few players that can contend with a high seed. If UC Santa Barbara wins the Big West they pose the biggest threat with the 50th best trio in the country led by Breitbart All-American UC Santa Barbara. Some traditional threats like Davidson do not appear to have a trio this year with much of a chance, showing up as a No. 16 seed based on their top trio.

While most teams on this list would be picked for a 3-on-3 tournament based on being the best team in their conference, this list also features Arkansas, Minnesota, St. Mary’s and Xavier who in a 3-on-3 tournament based on the ratings of their top 3 players at www.valueaddbasketball.com would be the final four at-large teams in the tournament and thus play each other in the opening round.

Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
16	Davidson	SC		6.49
256	De’Mon	Brooks	.6-07	2.94
274	Tyler	Kalinoski	.6-04	2.81
1078	Tom	Droney	.6-06	0.74
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
16	Delaware	CAA		6.09
253	Davon	Usher	.6-06	2.97
526	Jarvis	Threatt	.6-02	1.77
684	Carl	Baptiste	.6-09	1.35
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
16	High Point	BSth		5.53
183	John	Brown	.6-08	3.44
591	Devante	Wallace	.6-05	1.59
1359	Lorenzo	Cugini	.6-07	0.5
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
16	Mercer	ASun		6.53
281	Langston	Hall	.6-04	2.76
289	Daniel	Coursey	.6-10	2.71
858	Bud	Thomas	.6-06	1.06
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
16	Northern Colorado	BSky		6.35
223	Derrick	Barden	.6-05	3.15
365	Tim	Huskisson	.6-05	2.32
995	Tate	Unruh	.6-04	0.88
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
16	Southern	SWAC		6.21
199	Calvin	Godfrey	.6-09	3.34
341	Malcolm	Miller	.6-06	2.41
1422	Christopher	Hyder	.5-11	0.46
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
15	Belmont	OVC		7.42
159	JJ	Mann	.6-06	3.64
464	Craig	Bradshaw	.6-03	1.96
511	Reece	Chamberlain	.6-01	1.82
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
15	Harvard	Ivy		7.69
173	Wesley	Saunders	.6-05	3.52
430	Steve	Moundou-Missi	.6-07	2.1
435	Jonah	Travis	.6-06	2.07
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
15	New Mexico St.	WAC		6.89
150	Daniel	Mullings	.6-02	3.73
564	Tshilidzi	Nephawe	.6-10	1.65
620	KC	Ross-Miller	.6-01	1.51
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
15	Vermont	AE		6.78
306	Brian	Voelkel	.6-06	2.63
338	Clancy	Rugg	.6-08	2.43
540	Sandro	Carissimo	.6-02	1.72
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
14	American	Pat		7.91
232	Darius	Gardner	.5-09	3.1
244	Tony	Wroblicky	.6-10	3.05
528	Jesse	Reed	.6-05	1.76
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
14	NC Central	MEAC		8.59
248	Emanuel	Chapman	.6-01	3.02
258	Jordan	Parks	.6-07	2.94
304	Karamo	Jawara	.6-08	2.63
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
14	North Dakota St.	Sum		7.73
78	Taylor	Braun	.6-07	4.51
514	Marshall	Bjorklund	.6-08	1.8
655	Kory	Brown	.6-04	1.42
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
14	Robert Morris	NEC		8.71
52	Karvel	Anderson	.6-02	4.97
205	Lucky	Jones	.6-05	3.31
1467	Anthony	Myers-Pate	.6-00	0.43
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
14	Southern Miss	CUSA		8.75
115	Michael	Craig	.6-05	4.07
149	Neil	Watson	.5-11	3.74
947	Daveon	Boardingham	.6-07	0.94
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
13	Arkansas	SEC		10.42
85	Bobby	Portis	.6-10	4.44
163	Coty	Clarke	.6-07	3.58
345	Rashad	Madden	.6-05	2.4
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
13	Minnesota	B10		10.09
140	Eliott	Eliason	.6-11	3.79
211	Austin	Hollins	.6-04	3.25
243	Andre	Hollins	.6-02	3.05
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
13	St. Mary’s	WCC		9.78
97	Brad	Waldow	.6-09	4.3
174	Stephen	Holt	.6-04	3.51
461	Beau	Levesque	.6-07	1.97
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
13	UC Santa Barbara	BW		10.19
14	Alan	Williams	.6-07	6.38
451	Kyle	Boswell	.6-02	1.99
510	Taran	Brown	.6-08	1.82
Seed/Rnk	Fname/team	Lname/conf	Ht	Value Add
13	Xavier	BE		10.16
136	Matt	Stainbrook	.6-10	3.89
153	Semaj	Christon	.6-03	3.7
314	James	Farr	.6-09	2.57