Poll: Trump Sees Three-Point Lead in Battleground Pennsylvania, McCormick Virtually Tied with Democrat Casey in Senate Race

Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump (L) shakes hands with
Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Former President Donald Trump is seeing a three-point lead in battleground Pennsylvania, and Republican Senate candidate Dave McCormick is virtually tied with incumbent Democrat Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) as well, according to the latest Trafalgar Group survey.

The survey asked respondents, “If the election for president were held today, for whom would you vote?”

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C-SPAN

Overall, 46.3 percent said they would vote for the former president, compared to 43.3 percent who said the same of Vice President Kamala Harris. That three-point lead is just outside of the survey’s 2.9 percent margin of error.

Another 4.9 percent said “other,” and 5.4 percent indicated that they are undecided — more than enough to swing the race in either direction.

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The survey also examined the Senate race between Casey and McCormick and found McCormick with a .4 percent lead over the Democrat, garnering 47.2 percent support to Casey’s 46.8 percent. In that race, six percent said they are undecided. In other words, it is a virtual tie.

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The survey was taken October 17-19, among 1,084 likely general election voters.

The poll’s release coincides with Trump blitzing Pennsylvania over the weekend, making headlines after working at a McDonald’s on Sunday, making french fries as well as serving customers through the drive-thru window. The campaign stop came — at least in part — to Harris’s claim that she once worked at a McDonald’s — a claim Trump has called into doubt.

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Margo Martin / X

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Praising the franchise, company, and crowd through the drive-thru window, Trump added, “I’ve now worked for 15 minutes more than Kamala” at McDonald’s.

Massive crowds could be seen outside of the establishment:

The voter registration deadline for Pennsylvania is October 21.

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