Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden by double digits among independents in New York State, the latest Siena College survey found.
The overall survey showed Biden with a net negative approval rating in the blue state. Just 42 percent favor Biden, while most, 53 percent, view him unfavorably — a net negative favorable rating of -11 percent. In May, 45 percent viewed him favorably, compared to 50 percent who had an unfavorable view, giving him a net negative of -5. In other words, his net unfavorable rating increased by six percentage points in the last month.
“His job approval rating fell to 45-53%, down a little from 46-51% last month. Former President Trump has a
37-59% favorability rating, down from 39-56% in May,” Siena College found.
In a matchup, Biden leads Trump but only by single digits in the Empire State — 47 percent to Trump’s 39 percent — a difference of eight percentage points. In May, nine percentage points separated the two, and in April, ten points separated them:
What is even more stunning, perhaps, is Trump’s advantage among independents in the Empire State. Trump takes a double-digit advantage over Biden among independents in the state, leading Biden with support from 45 percent of independents. Biden sees support from 28 percent of independents — a +17-point advantage for the former president in the traditionally blue state.
“While Biden maintains the support of three-quarters of Democrats, Trump has support from 85% of Republicans
and leads Biden 45-28 percent with independents,” Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said.
“A gender gap has reopened as men support Trump 46-42% and women favor Biden 51-33 percent. White voters are evenly divided. And while Biden has a commanding lead with non-white voters, Trump garners support from 29 percent of Black and 26 percent of Latino voters,” he added.
The survey was taken June 12-17, 2024, among 805 registered voters in New York State. It has a +/- 4.1 percent margin of error and comes long after Trump’s historic rally in neighboring New Jersey, which attracted more than 100,000.
Weeks later, Trump held a historic rally in the Bronx, where the crowd erupted in cheers of “We love Trump!” and “Four more years!” — another warning shot for Democrats.
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