One Month from Iowa Caucus: Another Poll Shows Trump Above 50 in Hawkeye State

FORT DODGE, IOWA - NOVEMBER 18: Former President Donald Trump speaks to a crowd of support
Jim Vondruska/Getty Images
Hannah Knudsen

Yet another survey is showing former President Donald Trump garnering above 50 percent in Iowa, exactly one month ahead of the January 15 Iowa caucuses.

The latest Iowa State University/Civiqs poll showed over half of the respondents, 54 percent, choosing Trump as their first choice candidate.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, whose campaign has consistently claimed success in the Hawkeye State, falls 37 points behind Trump with 17 percent support. That reflects a one-point drop over the last month and serves as further evidence that Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds’ (R) endorsement of DeSantis did little to nothing to boost his status in the GOP primary field.

RELATED — Iowa Gov. Reynolds: Trump Can’t Win in 2024, Ron DeSantis Can

Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, meanwhile, improved, moving from 12 percent in the previous poll to 15 percent — just two points behind DeSantis.

Anti-woke businessman Vivek Ramaswamy sees seven percent support, followed by former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie with four percent and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson with one percent support.

Poll organizer Dave Peterson, Lucken Professor of Political Science, said the big takeaway “aside from Trump’s sizeable lead, is that the other candidates are running out of time, and it doesn’t look like there’s a lot of potential for Iowans to change their mind going into January.”

The survey was taken December 8-13 among 438 likely Iowa Republican caucus goers. It has a +/- 6 percent margin of error for likely caucus attendees, putting DeSantis at a virtual tie with Haley.

This is not the only survey that has showed Trump with majority support in Iowa as Election Day draws closer. The latest Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Trump standing with 51 percent in the Hawkeye State’s primary race and DeSantis falling 32 points behind with 19 percent support.

Further, the current RealClearPolitics (RCP) average shows Trump with 50 percent support and DeSantis 30.7 points behind with 19.3 percent support.

DeSantis continues to fail to garner momentum in Iowa — or any early primary state, for that matter — but he is still pressing on, urging Trump and Haley to debate him ahead of the Iowa caucus, despite the fact that none of the debates have assisted him in improving his standing against Trump — the runaway frontrunner.

“If Donald Trump and Nikki Haley are going to continue to spend millions against me on television with false attacks, they should at least have the courage to meet on the debate stage,” DeSantis said on social media.

“Now that Nikki Haley has been shamed into coming to the CNN debate, it’s time for Donald Trump to follow suit and join us,” he added.

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