Ohio Senate Republican candidate J.D. Vance leads his Democrat rival, Rep. Tim Ryan, by five points, according to a poll released Monday.

A Trafalgar Group poll found Vance, at 50 percent, leading Ryan, who is at 45 percent:

The survey, conducted Aug. 16 to Aug. 19, has a margin of error of 2.9 percent, meaning Vance’s lead is outside that margin. The poll surveyed 1,087 likely voters.

The poll should spell trouble for Ryan, as this would serve as a second poll to show Vance beating Ryan.

U.S. Senate candidate Rep. Tim Ryan, D-Ohio, speaks at the UAW Local 12 union rally in Toledo, Ohio on Saturday, August 20, 2022. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

An Emerson College poll released last week found that Vance led Ryan by three points; the Emerson College poll was the first survey on the Senate race to be released after the FBI led an unprecedented raid on former President Donald Trump’s home at Mar-a-Lago.

Ryan has refused to take a position on President Joe Biden ending the “Remain in Mexico” program at the United States-Mexico border that cut asylum fraud. Ryan did not make a public statement, nor did he respond to a request for comment from Breitbart News’s John Binder regarding Biden’s controversial ending of the program.

Ironically for Ryan, an NPR/Ipsos poll found that a majority of Americans support the Remain in Mexico program, which includes 44 percent of Democrats.

Vance explained to Binder that Ryan amounts to nothing more than a “do nothing” congressman.

“Joe Biden’s open border is wreaking havoc on Ohio as deadly drugs and violent criminals pour into our state. That problem will become even worse when he eliminates the Remain-in-Mexico policy and Tim Ryan has the power to stop it,’ Vance said.

“Instead, Tim Ryan has chosen to do nothing because he supports Joe Biden’s open border policies and votes with him 100 percent of the time,” he added.

EDITOR’S NOTE: This article has been updated to focus only on established pollsters.

Sean Moran is a congressional reporter for Breitbart News. Follow him on Twitter @SeanMoran3.