The Hill examined the fundraising numbers in the second quarter of candidates in tough August primary races. More often than not, a candidate’s fundraising numbers in these races give a good sense of how the candidate is likely going to fare. On the Republican side, The Hill looked at four House races in Arizona, Florida, Michigan and Tennessee. 

Arizona, August 28 (Ben Quayle vs. David Schweikert):

Reps. Ben Quayle, son of the former vice president, and David Schweikert are first-term Congressmen locked in a battle for a redistricted House seat that will be a safe Republican seat for the next decade.

Quayle has intensified his criticism of Obama and has the support of many in the Republican establishment, including Sens. Jon Kyl and John McCain of Arizona and former Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice. 

And in the second quarter, Quayle raised $530,000 while Schweikert raised $274,000. Quayle has more money in the bank than Schweikert, who is also carrying $100,000 in debt for the heated primary race. 

Florida, August 14th (Sandy Adams vs. John Mica) 

Rep. John Mica, the establishment Republican who is an ally of House Speaker John Boehner’s and chair of the House Transportation Committee, faces freshman congresswoman Sandy Adams, who has been endorsed by Sarah Palin.

Mica has a huge fundraising advantage, having raised $401,000 to Adams’s $131,000. Mica also has $1.3 million in the bank while Adams has $500,000 in addition to $103,000 in debt. 

Michigan, August 7 (Fred Upton vs. Jack Hoogendyk):

Incumbent Rep. Fred Upton was thought to be in some trouble early in the year, but that seems not to be the case anymore, as he raised $628,000 while his opponent, Jack Hoogendyk, just raised $44,000. Upton has a $2 million war chest. 

Tennessee, August 2 (Chuck Fleischmann vs. Weston Wamp):

Rep. Chuck Fleischmann faces a challenge from Weston Wamp, the son of the Rep. Zach Wamp, whom Fleishmann replaced. 

Fleischmann, a candidate some on the right want to pick off, raised $213,000 last quarter while Wamp raised $125,000. Fleischmann also has $250,000 in debt.