Editor’s note: The presidential nominating contests in both parties will come down to the California primary.
For Democrats, 548 delegates are at stake — 11.5% of the total. For Republicans, 172 delegates are at stage — 6.9% of the total. Of those, for Democrats, 158 (29%) are divided proportionally on a statewide basis, while 317 (58%) are divided proportionally by congressional district, with each district providing between 5 and 8 delegates. The remaining 73 (13%) are “superdelegates.”
For Republicans, 13 (8%) are awarded statewide, with ten going to the candidate with the highest number of votes on a winner-take-all basis, and three going to “pre-determined” delegates (the State Chair, National Committeewoman, National Committeeman). Meanwhile, 159 (92%) are awarded by congressional district on a winner-take-all basis, with each district providing 3 delegates.
The result: a district-by-district battle in both parties, which we preview for you here.
CA-03: This district takes in the agricultural and suburban region between the famous Napa wine valley to the west and Sacramento to the east. A “swing” district represented until 2010 by Republican Dan Lungren, and before him by Doug Ose, the 3rd is currently represented by John Garamendi. A sizable Latino population, and the district’s unique economic mix make this a centrist district for both parties, more favorable to establishment candidates.
Prospects:
Democrats: This mixed suburban/rural district favors Hillary Clinton, though Sanders will have some support.
Clinton 4, Sanders 2
Republicans: Expect a close contest between Trump, Cruz, and Kasich, perhaps decided in the end by a few votes for Cruz.
Cruz 3, Trump 0, Kasich 0
Joel B. Pollak is Senior Editor-at-Large at Breitbart News. His new e-book, Leadership Secrets of the Kings and Prophets: What the Bible’s Struggles Teach Us About Today, is on sale through Amazon Kindle Direct. Follow him on Twitter at @joelpollak.
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