Editor’s note: The presidential nominating contests in both parties will come down to the California primary.
For Democrats, 548 delegates are at stake — 11.5% of the total. For Republicans, 172 delegates are at stage — 6.9% of the total. Of those, for Democrats, 158 (29%) are divided proportionally on a statewide basis, while 317 (58%) are divided proportionally by congressional district, with each district providing between 5 and 8 delegates. The remaining 73 (13%) are “superdelegates.”
For Republicans, 13 (8%) are awarded statewide, with ten going to the candidate with the highest number of votes on a winner-take-all basis, and three going to “pre-determined” delegates (the State Chair, National Committeewoman, National Committeeman). Meanwhile, 159 (92%) are awarded by congressional district on a winner-take-all basis, with each district providing 3 delegates.
The result: a district-by-district battle in both parties, which we preview for you here.
CA-10: This is a classic Central Valley district: traditionally conservative, yet nearly 40% Latino. Water is the big issue in the district, where farms live or die based on the allocation they receive (or fail to receive) from the federal Central Valley Project. The district’s farmers — and farm workers — are considerably less adamant on immigration issues than some other parts of California. Moderate Republican Jeff Denham is a leading proponent of reform.
Prospects:
Democrats: The district’s agricultural base and large Latino population favor Hillary Clinton heavily to win.
Clinton 4, Sanders 1
Republicans: Ted Cruz will win easily, and the candidates may barely spend time campaigning here as a result.
Cruz 3, Trump 0, Kasich 0
Joel B. Pollak is Senior Editor-at-Large at Breitbart News. His new e-book, Leadership Secrets of the Kings and Prophets: What the Bible’s Struggles Teach Us About Today, is on sale through Amazon Kindle Direct. Follow him on Twitter at @joelpollak.
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