Will Amy and Tina joke about not making jokes about a movie about slavery? Will Lena Dunham’s dress make her look frumpy and then indignant about being called frumpy? Will I watch the entire thing despite the fact that Bruce Campbell was snubbed (again)? Will the weather dominate the awkward red carpet banter?
Here are my picks and what I think will be the likely winners based on buzz and politics. See all the nominees here.
Best Motion Picture, Drama
My Pick: Gravity
Likely Winner: 12 Years a Slave
Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama
My Pick: Sandra Bullock in Gravity
Likely Winner: Sandra Bullock in Gravity
Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama
My Pick: Chiwetal Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Likely Winner: Chiwetal Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
My Pick: Her
Likely Winner: Nebraska
Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
My Pick: No pick since I haven’t seen any of these
Likely Winner: Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy
My Pick: Joaquin Phoenix, Her
Likely Winner: Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
Best Animated Feature
My Pick: Despicable Me 2
Likely Winner: I don’t care! Minions forever!
Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
My Pick: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Likely Winner: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
My Pick: Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Likely Winner: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club
Best Director, Motion Picture
My Pick: Alfonso Cuaran, Gravity
Likely Winner: Alexander Payne, Nebraska
Best Screenplay, Motion Picture
My Pick: Spike Jonze, Her
Likely Winner: John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
Best TV Series, Drama
My Pick: Breaking Bad
Likely Winner: Breaking Bad
Best Actress in a TV Series, Drama
My Pick: None because I haven’t seen any of these shows
Likely Winner: Kerry Washington, Scandal
Best Actor in a TV Series, Drama
My Pick: Brian Cranston, Breaking Bad
Likely Winner: Brian Cranston, Breaking Bad
Best TV Series, Comedy or Musical
My Pick: Modern Family
Likely Winner: Modern Family
Best Actress in a TV Series, Comedy or Musical
My Pick: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Likely Winner: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Best Actor in a TV Series, Comedy or Musical
My Pick: Jason Bateman, Arrested Development
Likely Winner: Jim Parsons, Big Bang Theory (Side note: I will never, ever get the appeal of this show)
Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Mini-Series or TV Movie
My Pick: Sofia Vergara, Modern Family
Likely Winner: Monica Potter, Parenthood
Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Mini-Series or TV Movie
My Pick: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
Likely Winner: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad