I know people love to gripe about Hollywood, but like it or not… I like it.  Seriously, I like to go to the movies.  I like to see which ones are doing well with critics and in the box office.  I like to watch the three hour E! red carpet show.  I like the post-Oscars talk about what people wore (Joan Rivers is always right).  I like that Seth MacFarlane is hosting the Oscars.  I like to compare who I think will win and who actually wins.  So, here it goes:

Best Picture
My Pick: Lincoln or Les Miserables — I keep going back and forth
My Prediction: Argo

Best Director
My Pick: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
My Prediction: Steven Spielberg, Lincoln

Best Actor
My Pick: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln and Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables — Don’t make me choose!
My Prediction: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln

Best Actress
My Pick: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
My Prediction: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Supporting Actor
My Pick: Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
My Prediction: Christopher Waltz, Django Unchained

Best Supporting Actress
My Pick: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
My Prediction: Sally Field, Lincoln — Gird your loins for all the “They Really Like Her!” headlines

A few other predictions:

Adele wins “Best Original Song”

Les Miserables wins “Best Costume Design” and “Best Production Design”

Amour wins “Best Foreign Film”

Searching for Sugar Man wins “Best Documentary Feature” — check out the song “I Wonder” by Rodriguez. Love it.

Here’s hoping politics is put on hold for the night.  And that it’s the last time we ever see the mani-cam.  Let it go, E!.  Just like “fetch,” it’s not happening.