John Pudner

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Articles by John Pudner

The Mirage is False: Hart Improves Villanova Margin by up to 12

Mirage Manager Jeff Stoneback is a betting line genius, but wrong on one point in this interview with Covers, Value Add Basketball calculates there is no way the best player in college basketball (Villanova’s Josh Hart) is worth only two points a game to Villanova.

Josh Hart, Ryan Fazekas

32 All-Conference Teams; Duke Duo Makes 1st Team All-American

For the first time we failed to release a preseason Value Add Basketball team together because – well we were distracted by number crunching on a Presidential Election. However, today we at least put out “pre-conference play” All-Conference and All-American teams.

The Associated Press

Top 25: UNC No. 1, Utah Best Dark Horse for Bettors

UNC debuts at No. 1 in the Breitbart Sports college basketball rankings, but bettors should look to Utah for the best chance at a big payout. Utah is unranked in the coaches’ and sports writers’ polls, but Value Add Basketball calculates the 6-foot-10 December transfer David Collette will make them up to eight points a game better to project as the 12th best team in the country.

HOUSTON, TX - MARCH 27: Cheerleaders of the Utah Utes perform against the Duke Blue Devils

L.A. Times: Trump Up 7 over Clinton; Breaks 20% Among Blacks

The latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times tracking poll puts Republican nominee Donald Trump up nearly 7 points over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton as of Sunday morning. He also hit an all-time high of 20.1% among black voters.

Rev. Faith Green Timmons interrupts Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump as he s

John Pudner: Tracking the Silent Vote and Guilt Vote

If a “guilt vote” propelled President Obama to two election wins, will Donald Trump be elected with a “silent vote” because the national media makes it too embarrassing to tell a pollster you are supporting Trump?

vote-AP

John Pudner: 2016 Voting Guide: The Top Issues for Practicing Catholics

In recent decades, 2004 was the only year in which practicing Catholics faced a tough choice in a Presidential election. This year it is much again clear despite the fact that the threat of a hostile IRS forces Catholic pastors to try to “balance” reasons to vote for each side from the pulpit.

The Associated Press

AL’s Wild Wild-Card Race Sees a Half Dozen Teams Fighting for Last Playoff Spot

The Houston Astros, the only team with three of the top 11 players in MLB, appeared to get knocked off the “wild card” island with the worst start to a game in the history of baseball — only to recover to pound the Baltimore Orioles 31-8 the rest of the weekend to pull within 4 ½ games of the Orioles, Mariners, Royals, Tigers and Yankees for the last playoff spot.

The Associated Press

Until Today Trump Was Ahead of Romney’s 2012 Final

Thursday battleground state polls confirmed national polls showing a steep drop for Donald Trump after projecting as a favorite as recently as Saturday by Nate Silver, who in 2012 only briefly after the first debate gave Mitt Romney even a 41 percent chance of winning.

Donald-Trump-Mitt-Romney-Getty

Trump Pulls to 266-272 Virtual Electoral Tie Today

Battleground polls released in July show voters are moving toward Donald Trump. In three battleground states — Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania — Trump gained between three and six points, and in Iowa he went from a double-digit deficit to a lead.

Trump-Hillary-Clinton-Reuters-640x480

Poll: N.C. Gov. Gains 15-Point Swing After Opposing Obama’s Transgender Agenda

A poll shows that Republican Governor Pat McCrory has surged 9 points since he stood up against President Barack Obama’s order to allow transgenders into girls’ restrooms, and he has now converted a 10-point deficit into a 5-point lead in his 2016 reelection campaign against Attorney General Roy Cooper, a Democrat.

transgender

Old Polling Trick Compares Trump to Lice, Cockroaches

From May 6-9, Public Policy Polling compared Donald Trump to hemorrhoids, root canals, lice, traffic jams, and cockroaches. Not surprising it was the one poll showing Hillary Clinton still ahead.

roaches-escape AP

Ryan Endorsement — McCain Refused to Endorse Bush for 2 Months, Bush Won

When I was turning out faith-based voters for George W. Bush in 2000, John McCain refused to endorse or even meet with Bush for two months after losing the nomination. The idea that Speaker Paul Ryan not endorsing Donald Trump on the spot, a week before they meet, hurts Trump’s campaign is ridiculous.

Paul Ryan Speaker AP

Nova Clinches Case for Big East with Biggest Final 4 Blowout Ever, 95-51

Just months after Breitbart Sports was criticized for “pretending” the Big East was almost an elite conference, Villanova improved the conference to 8-4 in the tournament — behind only the ACC (18-5) and doing it by beating a team from the only other conference with a winning record (Big 12) by a record margin 95-51.

The Associated Press

Celtics End Golden State’s 54-Game Home Win Streak

Stephen Curry and the Warriors are vulnerable, after all, as the soon-to-be MVP turned the ball over nine times and missed a last-second three to end their record 54-game home win streak.

Isaiah Thomas (R) and Avery Bradley of the Boston Celtics celebrate their win over the Gol

Final Four: ‘No Stars’ Team vs Player of Year; Best Team vs. Nastiest

Value Add indicates the Villanova “no stars” are the only team with four Top 200 players as they try to overcome Player of the Year Buddy Hield (Oklahoma) and then the best player in the tournament (UNC’s Brice Johnson) or the surprising Orangemen of Syracuse to give the Big East its first title in just its third year since realignment.

The Associated Press

Elite 8 Preview: Big East vs. Big 12 for 2nd Best

Nate Silver and I had two of the only brackets with Oklahoma winning today, as they kick off the “Best Non-ACC Elite 8” against Oregon shortly after 6 p.m. Eastern. Kansas plays Villanova after that game. Then the second “ACC Tournament” continues Sunday with North Carolina vs. Notre Dame and Syracuse vs. Virginia and top 10 Value Add player Malcolm Brogdon.

The Associated Press

Breitbart All-American Bracket Best Option at 15-1

If you went with the better seed in all 16 games Thursday you are now 9-7. If you went with the teams with the most Breitbart All-Americans and All-Conference players you are 15-1.

The Associated Press

8 Pick Your Poison Approaches to Filling Out NCAA Brackets

We produced the bracket for all 63 picks based on looking at the analytics and then going with our gut. Here is a recap of those “gut” picks, and seven other options to let you go with our pure analytic choice, which team is hottest, most healthy, has the most NBA talent, best experienced point guard or the most All-Americans. Or you can just go with the lowest seed every time.

The Associated Press